|
September 29, 2008
$700 billion for "price discovery"?
I was talking about this puzzle with George Selgin, and he suggested I raise it here. Can anyone explain to us Ben Bernanke's theory according to which taxpayer-financed asset purchases can help a troubled asset market get unstuck, i. e. regain its previously high volume? Is that based on any known theory of markets, or any known historical experience? The purchases are supposed to help the market in "price discovery," via some cleverly designed mechanism (as yet unspecified). Bernanke swears it isn't about overpaying for assets to subsidize the institutions selling the troubled assets, only about finding the market a price. But in that case, why would anything close to $700 billions of purchases be needed? Comments are open. Posted by Lawrence H. White at 10:47 PM in Economics
Comments
I'll take a stab at it: Instead of writing off all bad assets from a company's balance sheet, which would create an insolvency risk for highly leveraged firms, the asset purchases at this time are intended to only to prevent deflationary money destruction resulting from the collapse of these institutions. (Illustration here: http://tinyurl.com/4j3933 ) The price discovery function occurs later as the distressed assets purchases by the Treasury are structured similarly to a stock market index fund or perhaps more appropriately, a real estate investment trust. Initially, the Fed/Treasury would own the vast majority of "shares," with the number of shares floated increasing over time as the market valuation of the assets increases (ideally). Shareholders would be paid dividends from income generated by rents collected from component income-producing assets. It's not a great example, especially as stock values are now at 1994 levels, but this post (http://tinyurl.com/3ve7pp )showing a chart of the S&P 500 vs its trailing year dividends per share from December 1991 to July 2008 illustrates how that price discovery/recovery process might look in practice following the effects of an asset bubble's inflation and collapse. Posted by: Ironman at September 30, 2008 12:11 AMOne other thing - to the best of my knowledge, the $700 billion figure was pretty arbitrarily selected. It may well represent a Treasury official's idea of a number big enough to scare politicians into acting but small enough to still get passed through Congress. Posted by: Ironman at September 30, 2008 12:13 AMfmWX18 bptrsniaoybl, [url=http://tvwljayvmwkb.com/]tvwljayvmwkb[/url], [link=http://kvdgmtiznaen.com/]kvdgmtiznaen[/link], http://bcpnxvksflxk.com/ Posted by: wnjizemrj at October 9, 2008 12:47 AM |
The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in what manner they ought to employ their capitals would not only load himself with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever, and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it. -Adam Smith
Our Bloggers
Joshua HallRobert Lawson E. Frank Stephenson Michael C. Munger Lawrence H. White Craig Depken Tim Shaughnessy Edward J. Lopez Brad Smith Mike DeBow Wilson Mixon Art Carden Noel Campbell
Search
Archives
By Author:
Joshua HallRobert Lawson E. Frank Stephenson Michael C. Munger Lawrence H. White Edward Bierhanzl Craig Depken Ralph R. Frasca Tim Shaughnessy Edward J. Lopez Brad Smith Mike DeBow Wilson Mixon Art Carden Noel Campbell
By Month:
February 2012January 2012 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011 March 2011 February 2011 January 2011 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 September 2010 August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 May 2010 April 2010 March 2010 February 2010 January 2010 December 2009 November 2009 October 2009 September 2009 August 2009 July 2009 June 2009 May 2009 April 2009 March 2009 February 2009 January 2009 December 2008 November 2008 October 2008 September 2008 August 2008 July 2008 June 2008 May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004
Powered by
Site design by |